8 Mistakes People Make Reading Insider Trading Data
The most common errors when reading Form 4 data, from counting grants as buys to ignoring the 10b5-1 flag, and how to avoid each one.
Insider data is free and public, which makes it easy to misuse. These are the mistakes that most often turn a decent signal into noise.
1. Counting every non-sale as a buy
The biggest one. Form 4 has many transaction codes. Only P is an open-market purchase. Awards (A), option exercises (M) and tax withholding (F) are compensation mechanics. Treating them as buying inflates "insider buying" several times over.
2. Ignoring the insider's role
A CEO or CFO knows more than an outside director who has just joined. A 10% owner that is a fund may trade for portfolio reasons. Weigh by role.
3. Ignoring size
A $5,000 purchase by an executive worth tens of millions is a token. Compare the trade with their existing holding and with what a purchase of that size means to them.
4. Treating planned sales as a decision
Sales under a 10b5-1 plan were scheduled months ago. Check the checkbox and footnotes before reading anything into them.
5. Reading a single filing, not a pattern
One purchase is interesting. Several insiders buying in two weeks is more interesting. A year of steady selling by one person is background noise.
6. Forgetting indirect holdings
Shares can be held through trusts, family entities or funds. A filing may show shares owned "indirectly". Read the footnotes to see whose stake it is, so you do not double count or misjudge.
7. Missing amendments
A Form 4/A corrects an earlier filing. If you copy data without removing duplicates, the same trade appears twice.
8. Ignoring the market context
A purchase after a 40% drop can be a bargain or a mistake. A purchase near an all-time high is a different bet. Look at the price path, not just the filing.
A checklist
- Code P or S only?
- Who is the filer?
- How big relative to their holding?
- Planned or unplanned?
- Alone, or part of a cluster?
- Any footnote that changes the picture?
- What has the stock done since?
Bourse applies the first filter for you. It keeps only P and S filings, flags clusters, and shows how each stock has moved since the disclosure, but the judgement is still yours.
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